Dirty Laundry

October 11, 2020

By Steve Stofka

On Friday, the New York Times released more of Donald Trump‘s tax records (Craig, Mcintire & Buettner, 2020). They reveal a money laundering scheme that Mr. Trump used to fund his 2016 campaign. In the closing months of the campaign, few Republican donors wanted to bankroll his bid for the Presidency, and he was short of funds.

The train to Vegas. In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, Democratic Senate Leader Harry Reid tried to put together a project for a commuter train from California to Las Vegas. When the entire project was done, residents of the L.A. area would be able to take a train to Las Vegas instead of making the arduous drive via the I-10 and I-15 freeways. Anyone who has driven this route on a Friday can swear that it evokes Chris Rea’s song The Road to Hell.

By the time the project funding was put together five years later, Republicans controlled the House and several of their leaders rejected the idea. One was Jeff Sessions, the ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee and later Mr. Trump’s Attorney General; the other was Paul Ryan, the head of the House Budget Committee. They insisted that the project be built using American products; it couldn’t be done. Germany, Japan and China have become the global leaders in train manufacturing.  

Vegas real estate tycoons, including Mr. Trump and his Vegas partner Phil Ruffin, would have benefitted greatly from the train traffic. The likelihood of such a project would be revitalized if Mr. Trump were President. Out came the checkbooks and the big Republican “whales” from Vegas, including Sheldon Adelson and Steve Wynn, contributed to the Trump campaign. His partner, Phil Ruffin, routed money through a shell company to Mr. Trump who used it to fund his campaign.

Although a court would have to decide, some of the campaign contributions were probably illegal. If Mr. Trump is elected again this year, he will shield himself from any prosecution and he would probably help protect others from adverse legal proceedings.

On Saturday, the newspaper was releasing still more evidence that Mr. Trump has used the Presidency to rescue his failing company from a heavy debt load. His hotels were already struggling before the Covid virus swept the world this year. Each new revelation indicates that Mr. Trump has built a house of cards like the Ponzi scheme built by Bernie Madoff, the former head of NASDAQ.

If Mr. Trump loses the election, he will face a legal and financial reckoning that he has delayed for the four years of his Presidency. His erratic and belligerent behavior may be partly in desperation. His former attorney, Michael Cohen, commented that if Mr. Trump were still his client, he would recommend that Mr. Trump resign the Presidency before his term is out, then arrange for Mr. Pence, his Vice-President, to issue him a pardon for any pending Federal crimes.

Mr. Trump is the first presidential candidate to “self-fund” his campaign and be successful. Surely, lawmakers on both sides of the aisle have learned a lesson. Are we a better country if a person can buy the Presidency? I think not.

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Notes:

Photo by Sahand Hoseini on Unsplash

Craig, S., Mcintire, M., & Buettner, R. (2020, October 09). Trump’s Taxes Show He Engineered a Sudden Windfall in 2016. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/10/09/us/donald-trump-taxes-las-vegas.html

The Billionaire Ballot

February 16, 2020

by Steve Stofka

“Dad, can I get a new bike?”

“What do you think money grows on trees?”

“No. If it grew on trees, I wouldn’t ask you for a new bike. I’d ask for a ladder so I could pick my own money.” A great comeback that I never said. No new bike. I could still dream of being President someday.

My dad was born before the Great Depression, a time when money lived in the ground. In 1849, people went crazy when they learned that there was gold in the dirt of California (PBS, n.d.). It’s God’s will, some said. In 1876, eight years after the Federal government signed a treaty with the Sioux Indians, gold was discovered in the Black Hills of North Dakota. Sorry, Sioux Indians, but you’ll have to move (NPS, n.d.). 

It took labor and money to dig up money when it lived in the ground. Now it lives in the digital “cloud.” Are we inherently distrustful of money that can be created with the push of a finger on a computer terminal? Seems too easy. We are 50 years into a system that is untethered from any practical restraint. The Federal Reserve guides their monetary policy according to goals set by a law passed at the height of inflation in the 1970s. They do not have to dig up dirt to get more money. They don’t have to keep gold or silver reserves. It seems like the same magical thinking of a kid who dreams about becoming President.

Presidential candidates must work hard to generate enthusiasm and donations of time and money to fuel their campaigns. A successful candidate for the Presidency usually finds a phrase that resonates with supporters.  In 2008, former President Obama used “Yes, we can” and various combinations of “Change” (List of U.S. presidential campaign slogans, 2020). President Trump used “Make America Great Again” during his 2016 campaign. His current slogan is “Keep America Great.” I heard Presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren sound out “Fighting Back” at a Virginia rally this past Thursday (C-Span, 2020). Mike Bloomberg has blanketed media with the phrase “Mike will get it done” (Mike Bloomberg, 2020).

In 2016, Marco Rubio and other Republican candidates complained that the inexperienced Donald Trump could buy the party’s nomination with his vast resources. Mr. Trump had promised to spend $100 million of his own money and spent $65 million in the final accounting (Peters & Storey, 2016). This was only half of the $121 million in inflation adjusted dollars that Ross Perot spent on his Presidential campaign in 1992 (Boaz, 2019).

Enter Mike Bloomberg. In the few months since he announced his candidacy, his campaign has spent $400 million (Burns & Kulish, 2020). His political spending is dwarfed by his charitable giving. In 2019, Mr. Bloomberg’s foundation donated more than $3 billion to charity. Unlike President Trump, Mr. Bloomberg has demonstrated his business acumen and has past political experience in the mud pit of New York City politics. He is used to the tough bargaining and political alliances that consume Washington. Mr. Trump knows only intimidation, not bargaining. He is the Twitter version of Venezuela’s former President, Hugo Chavez, who used radio to attack his political enemies.

What entices these billionaires to want a high stress job in Washington? What lies in the ground in Washington is not gold, but great power and reputation. Under FDR in 1932, the Democrats first began to consolidate political power in Washington. World War 2 and the Cold War helped grow that power base. So did the Federal programs of social support – Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and countless others. Beginning in the 1960s, Congress began to grant the President more executive power to conduct war and administer the growing array of Federal agencies.

As the power of the Presidency grew, each Presidential campaign attracted more money. Through a series of campaign reform bills, Congress attempted to regulate the flow of money into politics. In the past decade, two recent Supreme Court decisions have undone many campaign regulations (Ballotpedia, n.d).

The discovery of gold in California and South Dakota attracted many prospectors who worked hard to grab the prize. Like today’s Presidential candidates, many miners did not have the resources necessary to capitalize on the opportunity. Well-funded companies like Homestake Mining proved successful. This is the era we are in now. Little Johnny or Mary can put away their dreams of being President. Is that good for the country?

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Notes:

Ballotpedia. (n.d.). Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act. Retrieved from https://ballotpedia.org/Bipartisan_Campaign_Reform_Act

Boaz, D. (2019, July 9). RIP Ross Perot, the Billionaire Who Ran for President. Retrieved from https://www.cato.org/blog/rip-ross-perot-billionaire-who-ran-president. Mr. Perot spent $65 million, or about $121 million in current dollars.

Burns, A., & Kulish, N. (2020, February 15). Bloomberg’s Billions: How the Candidate Built an Empire of Influence. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/15/us/politics/michael-bloomberg-spending.html

C-Span. (2020, February 14). Senator Elizabeth Warren Campaigns in Arlington, Virginia. Retrieved from https://www.c-span.org/video/?469313-1/senator-elizabeth-warren-campaigns-arlington-virginia (43:08).

List of U.S. presidential campaign slogans. (2020, February 14). Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._presidential_campaign_slogans

Mike Bloomberg 2020. (2020). Mike Bloomberg for President: Official 2020 Campaign Website. Retrieved February 14, 2020, from https://www.mikebloomberg.com/

Peters, J. W., & Shorey, R. (2016, December 9). Trump Spent Far Less Than Clinton, but Paid His Companies Well. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/09/us/politics/campaign-spending-donald-trump-hillary-clinton.html

Photo by annie bolin on Unsplash