Ingredients of a Good Society

November 30, 2025

By Stephen Stofka

Seated around the table this Thanksgiving week were several generations, Boomers, GenX, Millennials and Zoomers. Here is a list of generational cohorts and the span of their birth years (Source). Some Boomers reminisced about rock groups and concerts they had been to in the 1960s, 70s and 80s. The names might have been vaguely familiar to the late Millennials and Zoomers. The younger folks talked about video games and music groups that were barely familiar to the old timers there. One younger person had repetitive motion syndrome, like an arthritis in their thumb from overuse of a game controller. The Boomers at the table had the arthritis of old age, unable to bend a thumb into a 90 degree angle.

The multi-generational gathering prompted me to look at the world through the lens of age, from the young to the old. As we grow up, we borrow money for a car, a vacation, higher education or a house. The source of those funds is the savings of older workers and retired people. As we reach middle age, we become keenly aware of our future financial security. Our social contract is an intergenerational compact, a churning of money between the generations. Money helps support our sense of security and I thought security would be a good second avenue of exploration.

We don’t get to choose our birth parents, our country or time of birth. All of us are fragile at birth, but some of us are born into fragile circumstances. Our country may be at war or suffering  political instability. Our community or home may be violent. Perhaps our parents are poor or homeless. One or both parents may have a mental illness or a drug addiction. We grow up in an environment of fear and anger, then absorb that into our personality, our soul. Or we may be born into a stable home and community where fear and anxiety is not the background music to our daily lives.

Professional athletes test the boundaries of their sense of security. They develop strength, stamina and skills by extending their comfort zone. By repeatedly taking chances, they learn to use their fear as a preparation for competition. When a top athlete starts fighting the fear instead of using it, they can’t compete at the highest levels. They are competing with their own fear instead of another athlete.

In his book Leviathan, the 17th century philosopher Thomas Hobbes (1588 – 1679) wrote that the instinct for survival was an essential characteristic of human temperament. Government was an artificial creature created by society as a means of security in an “every man for himself” world. For that security, we traded away some of our individual freedom, reaching a delicate compromise between security and freedom. In ancient Mesopotamian lore, the Leviathan was a sea serpent that attacked sailing ships (Source). I like to think that Hobbes chose that mythical creature to symbolize the danger inherent in a sovereign government. It is not a benign force in our lives, but the lesser evil.

This is in stark contrast to another 17th century philosopher John Locke (1632 – 1704), who saw government as the instantiation of a social contract. Government was a protector, a guarantor of natural rights. These two different perspectives of government shape the policy choices we favor. Libertarians think government should be a peacekeeper, a security broker between all the elements in society. It should be a keeper of the commons, the public institutions that connect us and guard both our internal and external security. It should facilitate the economic exchange between local regions, between people and companies as we provide for our daily needs. It should protect and enforce the sanctity of contract that supports that economic exchange.

Liberals favor a far more expansive role for government as the embodiment of the social contract. Even the word security has a broad meaning that encompasses far more than physical protection from harm. On his annual State of the Union speech on January 6, 1941, President Roosevelt articulated four freedoms, one of which was a freedom from want. As Roosevelt saw it, government had a responsibility to provide some economic and health security to its citizens. These two visions of the boundaries of a government’s responsibility underlie much of the Congressional combat we read about each day.

Hobbes was alive in 1648 when the Treaty of Westphalia ended the Thirty Years War and established state sovereignty within the Holy Roman Empire. To maintain its sovereignty, or self-governance within its territory, a state must manage the flow of people and goods across the borders of it territory. We do not choose our country of birth but we can choose to flee that country if political and economic circumstances threaten the security of ourselves or our family. Do immigrants have a natural right to live in a safe and flourishing environment wherever they choose? Immigrants can challenge a country’s management of its borders and in doing so, challenge its sovereignty and security.

A state cannot live by the same principles as people. In the Groundwork of the Metaphysics of Morals, the philosopher Immanuel Kant (1785) wrote that people were autonomous individuals with an intrinsic worth and in pursuit of their own purposes. Even though we interact with people in limited roles during the course of our daily exchange, we should respect their autonomy and dignity and not regard people merely as tools. In international relations, a liberal perspective wants states to abide by that Kantian principle.

States are not people, living in a society where a government provides some security. States live in the dog eat dog world that Hobbes imagined, a state of anarchy where each state must be on guard against threats from other states. That is the realist perspective in international relations. To protect their autonomy, sovereignty and capacity, they must occasionally act in a ruthless manner. During war, states draft men in their late teens and twenties, taking disproportionately from some families and not others. Is that fair? The key to survival is surviving, not fairness.

If their parents cannot bring them enough food, then eagle chicks will kill their siblings to increase their share of food. Is that fair? No. Is it moral? No. Without morality, there can be no dignity. Kant simply posited an inherent dignity to each individual, a fait accompli. Even though they lived at different times, I imagine that Hobbes would have been dubious of such a claim. Dignity is not inherent but ensured by a government that makes and enforces rules. I imagine that Locke would have countered Hobbes by arguing that governing by cooperation works better than intimidation. That requires a consensus among the individuals of society who recognize the benefits of the tradeoff between security and freedom. The debate is a constant tug of war between different visions and principles.

Young states are vulnerable to threats from more established states. Their political, military and bureaucratic systems are not fully developed and tested. The newborn United States was mindful of the threats posed by older European powers like England, France and Spain as well as the native Indians. In a major revision to the 1776 Articles of Confederation that bound the 13 colonies into a United States, the Constitution, drafted in 1787, gave the office of the President a lot of power to counter those threats. Many Presidents, including President Trump, have tested the boundaries of that power. Rarely have the other two branches of government offered so little resistance. All of the generations sitting at the Thanksgiving dinner table were worried about that.

Compromise is at the heart of the Chinese notion of the interaction between yin and yang. Freedom and security are like that, ever searching for a balance. Too much of one results in too little of the other. Each lifetime contains about four generations with different priorities. They must reach a political compromise but can never reach a satisfactory compromise that satisfies those different priorities. I hope everyone had a good holiday and I will see you next week.

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Photo by Jed Owen on Unsplash

A Clearer Vision?

August 31, 2025

By Stephen Stofka

Sunday morning and another breakfast with the boys. This week Abel and Cain discuss several  political theories as they try to make sense of current events. The conversations are voiced by Abel, a Wilsonian with a faith that government can ameliorate social and economic injustices to improve society’s welfare, and Cain, who believes that individual autonomy, the free market and the price system promote the greatest good.

Abel said, “I was reading this week that there are now more GenXers than Boomers in the House. The Boomers still control the Senate by a good margin, though (Source).”

Cain poured a bit of syrup on his French toast. “Next year, the first Boomers are going to turn 80. I mean, don’t they have anything else to do? Are they all going to die in their seats like Diane Feinstein?”

Abel shrugged. “I think they get into politics because they want to make a difference and they get addicted to that sense of importance. The office comes to define them. They can’t let go.”

Cain nodded. “Ok, I can understand that, but why do voters keep putting them back in office? Feinstein served about thirty years. Most states have term limits for governors (Source). We have term limits for the President, but none for the House and Senate? Come on, we need a better system.”

Abel replied, “Congress rewards seniority. The oldest members get key assignments. They chair legislative committees that control what legislation gets to the floor of either chamber. Let’s say someone challenges a sitting Senator who chairs the committee on Energy and Natural Resources. Right now, that’s Mike Lee from Utah, a Republican. Through him Utah voters can steer policy. If the challenger wins, he doesn’t get to chair the committee. Utah voters lose that power. Why would they want that?”

Cain stabbed at his French toast. “The problem with that system is that it allows special interests to ‘capture’ a Senator or House member. What do they call it? An Iron Triangle. Special interests, key committee members and some executive agency all work together to steer policy to the benefit of the special interests (Source). For example, ranchers band together as a group to lobby for below market grazing fees for their cattle.”

Abel smirked. “What are you going to do? Stop people from being people? Sure, Senators and House members are supposed to represent a broad constituency but there are a lot of interests within that constituency. Interest groups have to compete with each other for representation. That’s just politics.”

Cain replied, “There’s a guy called David Pinsof who developed what he calls Alliance Theory. Political beliefs are not based on principles or moral maxims but are simply arguments that a coalition uses to cement alliances. His theory helps explain a lot of contradictions.”

Abel asked, “Like what?”

Cain looked up at the ceiling as he searched his memory. “Conservatives say they respect authority but they can disregard authority if they think a regulation is unfair (Source). They champion the free market but actively lobby for subsidies.”

Abel laughed. “Subsidies are in the best interest of their stockholders. Regulations are not.”

Cain smiled. “Exactly. Another example Pinsof gave was a distrust of foreigners but conservatives should trust Putin when he said that he did not interfere in the 2016 election.”

Abel laughed, asking, “Any contradictions on the liberal side?”

Cain thought a second. “Oh, yeah, here’s one. CEOs should not make so much more than their workers but it’s OK for stars in Hollywood to make way more than most working actors. What else? Liberals criticize those who stereotype Mexican immigrants as criminals but hold onto the stereotype that a lot of voters in southern states are racist.”

Abel nodded. “Like I said, it’s what people do. So what’s Pinsof’s theory?”

Cain replied, “Don’t waste time trying to find inconsistencies in political arguments. It’s just spin. The opposition points out those inconsistencies as a way of signaling to their own coalition. No one expects that the other side will change their mind when someone points out a contradiction in their argument.”

Abel frowned. “Trump instinctively knows that its all about alliances. That’s why he will say anything, do anything. He asks, ‘does it strengthen my alliances and weaken those on the other side of the political aisle?’ It’s just so, so…”

Cain asked, “Nihilistic? Is that the word you looking for? Cynical, transactional?”

Abel replied, “Yeah, nihilistic, unanchored to any moral principles.”

Cain nodded. “It’s the morality of me, me, me. I think Pinsof borrows some elements from Skepticism as well as Pragmatism, a philosophy that understands ideas by looking at the effect of those ideas in the world (Source).”

Abel interrupted, “Reminds me of Milton Friedman’s paper saying that an economic model was valid if it made good predictions, not whether it was realistic or consistent (Source).”

Cain raised his eyebrows. “Talking about economics, Trump said that he had fired Lisa Cook, one of the Fed governors.”

Abel frowned. “Yeah, he’s attacking the independence of the central bank. When I read that, I thought, ‘How much has the stock market gone down on that news?’ I glanced at the SP500 index. Nothing. No reaction. What the heck?”

Cain shook his head. “Hard to figure. Traders are betting that there will be a standoff. Trump is pushing. Cook and her lawyer are pushing back.”

Abel asked, “Yeah, but I read that she is off the job for now. The Fed meets again in mid-September to decide interest rates. Has Powell said anything about Cook’s firing?”

Cain replied, “I don’t think so. Anyone that Trump wants to put in her place will need to be approved by the Senate.”

Abel asked, “Has the Supreme Court said anything?”

Cain said, “Cook’s lawyers would need to file something with a district court. If the judge rules against Trump, the lawyers with the Department of Justice would need to file an emergency application with the Supreme Court asking for immediate relief. It’s called the Shadow Docket (Source).”

Abel shook his head. “I think of Trump in control of interest rates. Tariffs are already driving up prices. He said he wants interest rates to be like three percent less. Such a huge drop in rates would increase inflation, a tax on everyone. This guy’s got more ways to tax ordinary people while giving the rich big tax breaks.”

Cain sighed. “Well, the key interest rate, it’s called the Federal Funds Effective Rate, is set by a committee called the FOMC. They have 12 members. There are seven Fed governors, the president of the New York Fed bank, and a rotating panel of four presidents from the regional Fed banks. Even if the Supreme Court said that Trump could fire one of the Fed governors, he can’t fire any of the presidents of the regional banks because they are employees of their banks, not the Federal government (Source).”

Abel asked, “So let’s say Trump gets five governors to do his bidding. You’re saying there are still seven governors who could vote against policies Trump wants.”

Cain nodded. “One of those governors is the Chair, Jerome Powell. Earlier this year, the Court indicated that Trump could not fire the Chair (Source).”

Abel frowned. “Trump pushes boundaries. That’s his brand.”

Cain shook his head. “Trump wants what he wants. He doesn’t recognize the validity of boundaries. That’s his brand.”

Abel sighed. “He is going to provoke a final crisis. I was re-reading Generations by William Strauss and Neil Howe. They wrote that book back in 1991 and predicted a major crisis during this decade.”

Cain squinted. “Didn’t we talk about this a few weeks ago?”

Abel nodded. “Oh yeah. I think I was talking about their second book, The Fourth Turning. This first book goes into the history of the generational cycle. They trace the pattern in America starting in the 17th century.”

Cain interrupted, “I’m skeptical about these grand cyclic theories. There are some stock traders who claim that the stock market works on Fibonacci cycles (Source).”

Abel argued, “Like Friedman said, does the theory make good predictions? If not, it’s not a good theory. Strauss and Howe predicted an inciting event sometime around 2005 that starts this two decade period called the fourth turning. It shakes the foundations of society before a final breaking point.”

Cain asked, “So, 9-11 or the financial crisis might have been those events? I don’t know. Seems like that would be fitting history to the theory.”

Abel replied, “Let me finish. Strauss and Howe thought the breaking point would come this decade. The last three turning points have been the Great Depression, the Civil War and the founding of the United States.”

Cain replied, “Ok, maybe it’s not just fitting data to a theory. A few weeks ago, we talked about legal turning points. I think I mentioned Richard Epstein’s book The Classical Liberal Constitution. He wrote about those turning points in Constitutional interpretation, or jurisprudence, I guess you could call it. Under the Fourteenth Amendment the Bill of Rights protections now applied to the states as well as the federal government.”

Abel interrupted, “Fat good it did down in the south. Jim Crow laws persecuted blacks.”

Cain sighed. “Yeah, these Constitutional protections don’t enforce themselves.”

Abel argued, “It was a failure of the Supreme Court, I think.”

Cain nodded. “Anyway, then there as a turning point Supreme Court decision in 1937 that set a precedent for big government. Helvering v. Davis upheld the constitutionality of the Social Security Act under the General Welfare clause of the Constitution (Source). A major expansion of the power and scope of the federal government.”

Abel said, “FDR was threatening to ‘pack’ the court. Increase the number of justices and put his own people in there.”

Cain agreed. “Yeah, FDR was a strongman, just like Trump. Unlike Trump, FDR had a clear electoral mandate from the 1936 election. He whupped the Republican candidate, taking all but a few votes in the electoral college (Source). He had a supermajority in the Senate so he would have been able to get his nominees for the court confirmed (Source).”

Abel asked, “Wasn’t the court all FDR nominees by the time he died?”

Cain nodded. “Yeah. No one should have that much power.”

Abel interrupted, “Trump is trying to expand his personal power under some Unitary Executive theory. The scary part is that some of the conservatives on the court support that theory (Source).”

Cain shook his head. “Hey, I’m all about checks and balances. This administration is all about consolidating power and I’m against that.  In 1945, F.A. Hayek wrote a landmark essay The Use of Knowledge in Society that explained why central planning would fail. Those in control cannot get or process enough information to make successful decisions (Source).”

Abel smirked. “DOGE is a great example of that. Even with sophisticated computers and data tools, they made a mess of things.”

Cain sighed. “The question is how much damage will Trump do. So, why do these turning points come every eighty years or so? Something to do with the human life span?”

Abel replied, “Strauss and Howe separate out four generations within that life span. Each has different characteristics as they move through their life cycle from youth, to rising adult, to middle age and then the final stage as elders. It’s the combination, the sequence of generations that causes the turning point, I think is what they say. There is an idealist generation that precipitates the crisis. This generation has a historical impact late in life.”

Cain shook his head. “What are some examples? It’s hard to follow.”

Abel nodded. “Lincoln, FDR, and Trump were all part of an idealist generation. Strauss and Howe identify several tendencies within each generation. Idealists think their principles are transcendent and they have unyielding opinions (page 11).”

Cain looked skeptical. “I don’t think of Trump as an idealist.”

Abel argued, “Well, he’s been saying the same crazy things for decades about criminals and immigrants.”

Cain interrupted, “Unyielding opinions? The guy changes his mind from day to day. He exaggerates most of the time and doesn’t care. And yes, don’t say it. I voted for him. It wasn’t my idea to have two old-timers run against each other in the 2020 election or the 2024 election. That’s why I want to change the system. The bosses in both parties are hurting the American people.”

Abel nodded. “Yeah, I agree. Most voters get herded into one of two corrals when they would prefer more alternatives. The whole election process is designed to suit the party bosses and the fundraising effort. It’s not about empowering voters.”

Cain laid his napkin on the table and stood up. “We said earlier that no law enforces itself. Principles of governance don’t just happen. The question is how does a system change without a civil war or an absolute economic catastrophe like the 1930s? It’s not a question I like to think too much about.”

Abel looked up. “See you next week.”

Cain turned. “Till then.”

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Photo by Josh Calabrese on Unsplash

Believing In Answers

December 19, 2021

by Stephen Stofka

Over the next twenty-five years most of the Boomer generation, 1946-64, will pass into history, the last generation of the Age of Modernity that began four hundred years ago. Boomer children were taught by the Silent generation, 1928-45, that had endured the Depression of the inter-war period and World War 2. The Silents had emphasized a mechanical approach to learning, drilling Boomers in multiplication, diagramming sentences and the Pythagorean theorem. Boomers learned to salute the flag in recognition of the American values of democracy, freedom of speech, religion and markets. On the other side of the world were the Communists who were against these freedoms. The Boomers were taught that there were right and wrong answers, but the 1960s would challenge that Modernist mechanical view.

As the vanguard of the Boomer generation turned 65 in 2016, those of the Silent Generation voted for Donald Trump by a 19+ margin. He was the deal maker who offered a black and white version of a complicated world. Build a wall. Free markets. More oil, more coal. Make stuff again and Make America Great, a refrain from Ronald Reagan’s 1980 election. Mr. Trump appealed to people who had learned to fit answers to questions like folding a carton or assembling a piece of furniture from Ikea. In a striking difference of opinion, only 50% of Boomers voted for Trump’s black and white vision.

This was the last election in which the Silent and Boomer generations had the dominant voice, falling to 44% of voters in the 2020 elections (Igielnik et al, 2021). More recent generations, the GenXers and Millennials were more tolerant of differing perspectives. In 1965, Congress revamped the restrictive immigration rules of the previous four decades to allow more immigrants from around the world. Educators taught the process of finding answers as well as the answers. Children learned that there might be more than one solution to a problem.

Although they grew up in an analog world, the GenXers and Xenials were the first generation to come of age in the digital world of the late 1980s and early 1990s (Wolfe, 2020). As earlier generations learned French or Spanish, some Millennial children learned a programming language so they could converse with a computer. A growing pluralism characterized this widening world and marked a transition from the modern to what is now called the post-modern. Later scholars may call this post-war period the beginning of the Age of Pluralism, marked by conflicting authorities, answers and solutions. Many people raised in a monoculture of similar assumptions are uncomfortable with more open perspective. Like all transitions, there is a political struggle to control the discourse.

We have put aside few of our past controversies. Despite a growing condemnation of slavery since the 19th century, the 2020 US Conference of Catholic Bishops estimated that there are still 40 million slaves in the world (2020, 4). Americans are still bound by a Constitution written in an age when people espoused equal rights in principle but believed in a natural supremacy of some races. Our laws and judicial precedents are imprinted with the beliefs and contradictions of that founding generation.

Shortly after the ratification of the Constitution, Jean Baptiste Lamarck (Famous Scientists, n.d.) formalized the evolutionary theory of acquired traits. A giraffe had a long neck because successive generations had stretched skyward to reach tree leaves and had passed this characteristic onto their offspring. For the same reason, some groups of people had evolved more even temperaments and better reasoning skills. To the founding generation, it was eminently reasonable that only men who owned property and demonstrated responsibility could vote.

In the Wealth of Nations, Adam Smith (2009) wrote “by nature the philosopher is not in genius and disposition half so different from a street porter as a mastiff is from a greyhound.” This observation recognized the commonality of our species as human beings but distinguished people by breed or race. When Smith refers to segments of the British population as a “race of laborers” he does not distinguish race by color as we do today but by capability. Like different breeds of dogs, some races were better suited for certain tasks.

Each generation leaves a legacy of their aspirations, their beliefs and fallacies codified into the institutions that govern successive generations. In the next decade, most of the Silent Generation will have passed into history but their thirst for clear and simple answers will persist in our politics. The Boomers sit on the fence between the mechanical viewpoint of the modern and the fluid perspective of the post-modern. Although their influence will decline at the polls, they will continue to control a lot of the country’s wealth so politicians will court their favor.

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Photo by Nathan Dumlao on Unsplash

Igielnik, R., Keeter, S., & Hartig, H. (2021, September 30). Behind Biden’s 2020 victory. Pew Research Center – U.S. Politics & Policy. Retrieved December 18, 2021, from https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/

Famous Scientists. (n.d.). Jean Baptiste Lamarck. Famous Scientists. Retrieved December 18, 2021, from https://www.famousscientists.org/jean-baptiste-lamarck/

Smith, A. (2009). Wealth of Nations. New York: Classic House Books. (Book 1, Chapter 2).

USCCB. (2020). Anti-trafficking toolkit 2020 – USCCB. U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops. Retrieved December 18, 2021, from https://www.usccb.org/about/anti-trafficking-program/upload/Anti-Trafficking-Toolkit-2020.pdf

Wolfe, H. (2020, July 22). Millennials, baby boomers, gen X and gen Z: The cutoff years for each generation. Considerable. Retrieved December 18, 2021, from https://www.considerable.com/life/people/generation-names/