Claims to Truth

August 4, 2024

by Stephen Stofka

In this week’s letter I will clean up my notes on the judiciary before I start a series on investing next week. For several millennia, human societies have struggled to figure out the how and the who of lawmaking. How to construct a rule whose language is clear enough to be understood but flexible enough to apply to varying circumstances? Who will enforce the rules? How will they be enforced?

Let me start with a real story from my childhood. My younger brother and I were only one and a half years apart in age and were quite competitive. Tired of listening to my brother and I argue over the rules of various card games we played, our dad bought us a book called Hoyle’s Official Book of Games. This resolved some of our disputes, but still we argued over the interpretation of the rules. If a rule in Rummy requires a player to play a card once they have touched it, how to interpret the word “touch?” If a gust of wind threatens to toss a few cards from the deck, can a player reach out to prevent that without having to take that card? What if a player grazes the card with their elbow while reaching for a drink?

Former Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer (2024) wrote that many cases the court decides can hinge on the interpretation of one or two words in a law. In the Heller decision on the Second Amendment, the majority and dissenting justices wrote 80 pages of argument over the meaning of “bear arms” in the Second Amendment. He quotes the example of a railroad that required passengers to pay full fare for each animal they brought on board. When a biology teacher brought a number of snails on the train for a class, the conductor charged the teacher a fare for the snails. When the teacher complained that the rule was meant for pets, the conductor explained that the rule used the word “animals,” not “pets.” Snails are animals.

If you were a judge, how would you rule? Breyer’s story raises the question: what if the rule said, “domestic animals?” What does the term “domestic” specify regarding animals? An animal related to a person’s home or family. Snails can be kept at home so even this change in the rule could be interpreted to include snails. The most important symbol in mathematics is the equals sign. There are specific rules of valid operations on either side of an equals sign. Plain language has no equals sign. For centuries, French was the language of diplomacy. The language has fewer words, which conveniently left agreements between diplomats open to interpretation.

If the truth were an island, it would be stained with the blood of millions. Throughout history, kings, philosophers and countries have laid claim to and fought over the truth. In 17th century Britain, a civil war erupted between monarchists, those loyal to the king and the power of the king, and Parliamentarians, those loyal to the Parliament as representatives of the people’s will. Robert Filmer, a noted monarchist, argued that the right to property comes from God through the King. John Locke argued that the right to property comes directly from God. When God drove Adam and Eve out of the garden, He told the couple they would have to work the land for their survival. Therefore, those who cultivate the land add value to the land and “thereby makes it his property” (PDF link, p. 116). The state merely recognizes that title. In later centuries, the American colonists would use this reasoning to deny that Indians had any right to the land because they did not cultivate it.

Journalists often make claims on the truth. Matthew Yglesias wrote on his Substack “this is journalism, and we owe a duty of truth to our audience.” He referred to “journalists’ obligations of candor,” but truth and candor, or honesty, are different. In its 1964 decision New York Times v. Sullivan, the Supreme Court ruled that statements about public officials were not subject to claims of libel unless they were shown to be made with “actual malice” and a disregard for the truth. That is a standard of candor, not truth.

The American Bar Association states that lawyers “must be honest, but they don’t have to be truthful.” They distinguish between being honest and being truthful. “A defense lawyer has no obligation to actively present the truth.” Being honest requires only that “Counsel may not deliberately mislead the court.” A lawyer who serves their client’s interest by making a false representation to the court risks disbarment. Rudy Guiliani was recently disbarred for making deliberate misrepresentations to further Trump’s claims of a stolen election.

A witness, on the other hand, must vow to “tell the whole truth” to the court. Politicians take no such vow, nor do they pledge a vow of candor, to be honest with the public. They take an oath of office to “support and defend the Constitution against all enemies,” a vague statement open to wide interpretation. It is up to the public to judge their lies, and to assess the importance of those lies. Abraham Lincoln supposedly claimed that all the people could not be fooled all the time, but a politician does not have to meet that high bar. They only need to fool enough of their constituents to get re-elected.

Should Congress set minimum years of service as a judge for Supreme Court nominees? Chief Justice John Roberts, and Justices Kagan and Thomas had the fewest years on the bench before joining the Court. I will leave the details and links in the footnotes. I have many more notes after reading Breyer’s recent book, but I will close this for now. Next week, I hope to present some perspective on investing in plain language without equations.

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Photo by John Cameron on Unsplash

Keywords: rules, honesty

Breyer, S. G. (2024). Reading the constitution: Why I chose pragmatism, not textualism. Simon & Schuster.

The link to the justices’ bios is here. Chief Justice John Roberts served as an Appeals Court judge for only 2 years before becoming Chief Justice. Justice Clarence Thomas – one year. Justice Samuel Alito – 16 years. Justice Elena Kagan had no prior judge experience. Justice Sonia Sotomayor – 16 years. Justice Neil Gorsuch – 10 years on an appeals court.. Justice Brett Kavanaugh – 12 years. Justice Amy Coney Barrett – 3 years. Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson – 9 years.

The Protected

September 3, 2023

by Stephen Stofka

This week’s letter examines the proliferation of lawyers in America and how they are reducing our economic productivity. In grade school civics class, we were taught that America is a nation of laws; that no one is above the law. Since the 1960s we have become a nation of competing rights, not laws. An army of lawyers stands ready to argue the cause of any business or advocacy group with access to sufficient funds. Those who can afford the legal bills can lengthen legal proceedings against them for a decade or more. Conflicts over land use hamper infrastructure projects and housing reform.

In 2018, Steven Brill, author of Tailspin and many other books, wrote an article in Time magazine titled “How Baby Boomers Broke America.” Brill is a Yale educated lawyer who founded Court TV several decades ago. Brill noted that the best and brightest among us, particularly those in the financial and legal professions, have become part of a protected class. They are shielded from the laws that govern the rest of us, the unprotected class. The professional class claims to have the public’s best interest at heart but it often acts to protect itself first at the expense of the public interest and social mobility.   

In 1951 there were 220,000 lawyers for 155 million people in America, according to the American Bar Association (ABA). That represented a ratio of one lawyer to 700 people. is  In the 1960s and 1970s, Congress passed much social and environmental legislation that left the actual rulemaking up to lawyers at federal and state agencies. During the 1970s, businesses hired many lawyers to thwart the impact of this new legislation. By 1984, the number of lawyers had tripled to 664,000 for a population of 237 million, a ratio of one lawyer to 357 Americans. In an annual address to the ABA that year, Chief Justice Warren Burger remarked on this worrisome trend, warning that society would be overrun by hordes of lawyers. By 2018, there were 1.1 million lawyers for 315 million people in America, the highest number of lawyers per capita in the world. Just five years later, there are now 1.3 million lawyers, a ratio of one lawyer for 255 people.

With the advent of Johnson’s Great Society and the Environmental Protection Act in the 1960s, the burden of regulation grew heavy. Large companies hired lawyers to discover and develop loopholes that created a legal safe harbor from the regulatory machine. Burdened by regulation, smaller companies became less efficient, making them less competitive. Wage gains which might have gone to workers now went to accountants, lawyers, government and insurance fees to protect business owners from the fines and liabilities of the new regulations. Larger companies, able to wield more legal power per dollar of revenue, absorbed their smaller competitors, giving larger companies greater pricing power.

In 2021, the American Bar Association listed 175 members of Congress with law degrees, a third of the 535 members of the House and Senate. By design, bargaining or incompetence Congress writes laws in imprecise language, leaving it up to the legal staff of executive agencies and the courts to determine what Congress meant. There is a public outcry against rule by unelected bureaucrats and judges but in an evenly divided electorate, those unelected officials protect the minority of 49 from the abuses of the majority 51. Computer algorithms enable a slim majority in a state to gerrymander voting districts to give one party representative power that enfeebles the 49% who belong to the other party. Those who control the democratic process control the power.

The growing adoption of computer technology in the late 1980s inspired the hope that automation would reduce the need for lawyers. Instead, compliance and regulatory work has increased each year. A 2017 CNBC article speculated that Artifical Intelligence (AI) might replace lawyers. Its doubtful that lawyers would allow that to happen. They write the rules that protect them from the rules, including the rule of competition. John Dingell, former Congressman from Michigan, once said “If I let you write the substance and you let me write the procedure, I’ll screw you every time.” Like an infestation of grasshoppers in a field of plants, too many lawyers diminish the productive vitality of our economy.

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Photo by Wesley Tingey on Unsplash

Keywords: finance, law, lawyers, regulations

Lawyer Layoffs

The legal practice has long been thought to be recession proof.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics “Lawyers held about 761,000 jobs in 2006. Approximately 27 percent of lawyers were self-employed, practicing either as partners in law firms or in solo practices.”

In a 4/14/09 AP article in the WSJ, “more than 3000 lawyers have been laid off in the first three months of 2009.” That figure is low, including only layoffs reported by the top law firms.

The Labor Department reported that, in 2008, the number of unemployed lawyers jumped to a 10 year high of 20,000. “Law students graduating with jobs this spring are being paid to delay their start date.”