The Political Middle

October 12, 2025

By Stephen Stofka

In the past few weeks, I have focused on the progressives and conservatives, two groups that have opposite ideologies regarding the social order. This week I will look at those ideologies that lie between those two extremes. First, let’s look at degrees of equality, a key characteristic of political ideologies. I’ll start with the extremes.

Progressives believe in the goal of an egalitarian society where everyone is equal in rights, resources and opportunities. The justification for that goal is a belief that all human beings have an intrinsic moral worth that is equal, a spirit embodied in the Declaration of Independence (Source). Inequality is a defect in the political, social and economic institutions that must be modified or expunged. Progressives thought that the equality promised by the Declaration of Independence and guaranteed by the 14th Amendment were intrinsically linked to economic equality, job opportunities, and pay equality.

Conservatives reject this approach. People of many persuasions, religious or secular, cringe at the claim that Mother Teresa and Hitler had the same moral worth. Despite the separation of Church and state in the First Amendment, the principles of the founding generation were built on conflicting religious beliefs. Some Protestant Christian sects believe in predestination, that God has chosen the saved and unsaved. Many Southern Baptists and Presbyterians, numbering almost 16 million in the US, cling to that doctrine (Source, Source). Others within the Protestant tradition are Arminian, believing that people can redeem themselves through faith. Catholics take a more nuanced view that faith, God’s grace, and good works can help a person attain salvation (Source). Each of these religious traditions focuses on the individual rather than the institutional environment.

Edmund Burke was an 18th century English philosopher, political writer and Parliamentarian who founded modern conservatism. In 1790 he wrote an essay Reflections on the Revolution in France that was highly critical of the overthrow of the aristocracy in the French Revolution. He wrote “all men have equal rights, but not to equal things.” He believed that societies evolved over generations to form a cohesive coalition of many roles occupied by people with different temperaments and talents (Source).

Burke had less faith in reason than Locke and worried about the disruptive force of people’s passions. Ruling institutions must “thwart” the “inclinations of man,” control their wills and subject their passions. Taking a broader perspective, Burke wrote, “In this sense the restraints on men, as well as their liberties, are to be reckoned among their rights.” That may seem curious. How is a restraint on me a right? Burke seemed to reason that a restraint placed with equal force on my neighbor may protect me from my neighbor’s passion. This viewpoint is rather utopian for restraints are not implemented equally on each individual. Those inequalities are the systemic defects that the progressives rightly criticize.

At either end of this axis of equality and inequality lie the Progressives and Conservatives. Let’s turn to the ideologies that occupy the middle between these two extremes. To the right of center there are classical liberals and neoconservatives. Neoliberals lie on either side of the center and liberals are to the left. Although neoconservatives do not have liberal in their name they evolved from classical liberalism with some important differences. Let’s start with classical liberalism.

The classical liberal tradition began with John Locke, a 17th century British philosopher. In Two Treatises of Government, he argued that people had natural rights given to them by God and that a government was bound to respect and protect those rights. Writing at the dawn of the Age of  Enlightenment, Locke argued that reason distinguishes human beings from other animals (Source, p. 20). Reason was God’s gift to each individual to use in the pursuit of happiness and freedom (Source).

Because a person has a property right to their own labor, Locke despised the institution of slavery. In Two Treatises, he wrote “Slavery is so vile and miserable an estate of man, and so directly opposite to the generous temper and courage of our nation, that it is hardly to be conceived that an Englishman, much less a gentleman, should plead for it” (Source, p. 7) Behind closed doors in a courthouse in Philadelphia, some of the framers of America’s Constitution reviled slavery as well but could not convince southern slaveowners whose economic self-interest and social status trumped liberal principles.  

The Constitution did not include any protections for the property rights of women either. As the nation prepared to declare independence from Britain in 1776, eleven years before the Constitution, Abigail Adams, the wife of John Adams, wrote in a letter to her husband, “I desire you would Remember the Ladies, and be more generous and favorable to them than your ancestors. Do not put such unlimited power into the hands of the Husbands. Remember all Men would be tyrants if they could. If perticuliar care and attention is not paid to the Laidies we are determined to foment a Rebelion, and will not hold ourselves bound by any Laws in which we have no voice, or Representation” (Source. Note: several decades later, Daniel Webster’s dictionaries helped standardize the spelling of many words).

The Constitution is intertwined with both progressive and conservative sentiments regarding equality and inequality. The document was a compromise after much argument. It is no wonder that we continue to argue over this central issue.

Like John Locke, the 18th century philosopher Adam Smith thought that the market helped rational people pursue their self-interest and advocated a limited role for government in the market. In business or in government, men were not angels. In the Wealth of Nations he criticized businessmen  who were prone to price fixing. In government, officials interfered with commerce, granting their allies monopolies on certain markets. In The Rise and Fall of the Neoliberal Order, Gary Gerstle (2022) writes that classical liberalism “sought to liberate markets from encumbrances: monarchy, mercantilism, bureaucracy, artificial borders and tariffs.” It wanted to “release the economy from the heavy hand of the state in its various guises” (p. 6).

Although libertarians champion the values and principles of classical liberalism, they disagree on the limits of government’s role in governing individual behavior, economic or otherwise. The accept the principle of equality, but reject the idea that government should take from some and give to others to achieve equality. Ardent libertarians regard such social taxation to be a violation of one’s property rights. Some libertarians advocate an extremely minimalist role for government in society. Others adopt a more practical approach that admits a more expansive role for government in a highly complex society and economy.

This sense of realism is shared with neoconservatives who argue that the role of government is to preserve moral order in a domestic society, and promote democratic principles and institutions around the world. Neoconservatives advocate both soft and hard power to combat the inherent anarchy of the world order. Contrast this darker outlook on human nature with Locke’s view that rational human beings are capable of self-governance.

Gary Gerstle (2022, p. 5) argues that the term liberal describes the version of social democracy that the Roosevelt administration introduced during the 1930s. Some call it modern liberalism to distinguish it from classical liberalism. During FDR’s presidency, the government exerted a far greater force in the market than previous administrations. At a time when 25% of working age people were unemployed and millions had lost their savings, FDR expanded government’s role to achieve more social and economic well-being.

In his first 100 days, FDR signed 99 executive orders to bring some quick relief to a nation suffering during the Great Depression. He did not act alone. In that time, Congress passed almost as many laws (Source), a partnership of the executive and legislative branches. In his second term, Trump has broken that record, signing 143 order in his first 100 days. However, Congress has been little more than a silent partner, quietly acquiescing as the executive assumes much of its legislative power. In the first 100 days, Congress passed only five laws, a stark contrast to the vigorous production of the 1930s Congress (Source).

During the 1960s, modern liberalism evolved to place far more emphasis on equality among members of society. Progressives wanted to use all the power of government to achieve an egalitarian society, a utopia of equality. In the 1970s, neoliberalism arose as a counterforce. Ronald Reagan, Margaret Thatcher, and economist Milton Friedman were right of center, placing little emphasis on economic equality. They believed that the market was the best mechanism to distribute the rewards and risks of individual behavior. They wanted to blend elements of 19th century classical liberalism with some social supports of 20th century liberalism like Social Security. Bill Clinton espoused a version of neoliberalism that was left of center with more emphasis on economic equality. His administration coupled government social welfare supports with individual effort and market incentives. In an ironic twist, Gerstle argues, the neoliberals used as much coercion to implement market reforms as the liberals had used to achieve a more equal distribution of economic gains (p. 7).

Our political loyalties may shift with age, sometimes with circumstance. Many of us do not cling to a consistent political ideology on every issue. We may vary our emphasis on some principles. Our priorities and viewpoints change. When I was in my twenties, I was against Social Security. Like so many government programs, it was poorly designed from the start. Until 1960, the combined tax share for both workers and employers was less than 6%. By 1980, the combined tax had doubled to 12% and the program was still running out of money (Source). In my view at that time, retiring workers had paid relatively little and were “milking” the younger generation. We had to keep paying higher Social Security taxes at a time when inflation was more than 10%. Some of us struggled to pay rent and feed our families so that we could pay some stranger’s retirement benefits.

Regardless of ideology, each of us has a unique sense of what is fair. That is true north on our moral compass and we act on that. That needle may sometimes point to the left or right on an issue or a candidate. No matter how pollsters and political analysts categorize our beliefs, we have only one political ideology, the Fair ideology.

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Photo by Tomoe Steineck on Unsplash

Gerstle, G. (2022). The rise and fall of the neoliberal order: America and the world in the free market era. Oxford University Press.

A Debate on Tariffs

by Stephen Stofka

This is 12th in a series of debates on various issues. The debates are voiced by Abel, a Wilsonian with a faith that government can ameliorate social and economic injustices to improve society’s welfare, and Cain, who believes that individual autonomy, the free market and the price system promote the greatest good.

This week, Abel began the conversation. “Toward the end of our conversation last week, you mentioned the shift of voter sentiment toward the right.”

Cain nodded, “Yes, the New York Times analyzed the change in election results from the 2020 election and it showed a shift toward the Republican Party in most counties (Source – NY Times).”

Abel interrupted, “Voters shifted left in the 2020 election. For the past twenty years, sentiment seesaws left and right with each election. Voters are so evenly divided that a slight shift can have a dramatic effect on party control of government.”

Cain argued, “This time is different. The voters want change. The neoliberal wing of the Republican Party has been discredited and driven out after two failed wars and a permissive trade policy that boosted China’s economy at the expense of American jobs. Gary Gerstle (2022, pg. 2) writes that it was the financial crisis that triggered the fall of the neoliberal order. President Trump is trying to undo the mistakes of that neoliberal ideology.”

Abel frowned. “I’ve read that book. Gerstle also noted that neoliberal policies were responsible for a lowering of the barriers to free trade (pg. 5). Tariffs and borders, for example. Trump is on a mission to rebuild those barriers. That will only hurt trade and weaken American business and consumers.”

Cain shook his head. “Open borders allowed for the smuggling of drugs and people across our southern and northern borders. The costs of open borders outweigh the benefits.”

Abel sighed. “25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada are going to fuel inflation and hurt consumers. Both countries have said they will retaliate. We export a lot of grains to Canada. That will hurt our farmers.”

Cain argued, “In 2002, President Bush raised tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to as much as 30%. A year later, after complaints to the WTO, Bush ended the tariffs. Trump is made of stronger stuff. These countries are not doing enough to curb drug and people smuggling. It may not be an explicit violation of trade rules, but it violates the spirit of those rules.”

Abel replied, “Bush did that to save jobs in the steel industry. Instead of stemming the flow of jobs to other countries, the tariffs caused the loss of 200,000 manufacturing jobs (Source). Trump’s tariffs are going to raise unemployment and cost consumers.”

Cain rolled his eyes. “We’re not going to agree on this. We have got to restore our nation’s manufacturing capacity and the supply chains that support production that is vital to our security. China controls a lot of essential minerals used in the production of electronics. They are actively pursuing alliances with African countries to lock up essential mineral resources. This is economic warfare, and we have to take measures to defend ourselves.”

Abel frowned. “Tariffs lead to trade wars. Trump is acting like he has a mandate. He won with the lowest margin of the popular vote in the past four decades – just 1.5%. He didn’t even get a majority of the votes (Source). In 2016, he got fewer votes than Hillary Clinton. Contrast that with Obama, who had a 7.2% margin of victory in 2008, and Biden who won by 4.5% in 2020. Voters for Trump are going to wake up and find that they have been screwed.”

Cain argued, “Democrats always use the popular vote as a measure of voter approval. States with a less concentrated population provide the resources that are vital to the economy and security of this country. Those states supply the food, the beef, the fuel that people in urban areas rely on. It’s an economic symbiosis. The producers and workers in rural areas should not be put at a disadvantage simply because their production requires more land. The Electoral College balances the inequities that result from a popular vote.”

Abel scratched his chin. “Tariffs are going to hurt the rural producers and workers that voted for Trump. Those red rural states already depend on the coastal blue states for federal benefits like farm and oil subsidies, Medicaid and welfare and they resent it. They imagine that Trump will revitalize rural economies so that they are more like it was in the 1950s when relative wages were higher. It was the unions who bargained for those higher wages and benefits. Without unions in the private sector, wages in rural counties will remain low.”

Cain raised an eyebrow. “Unions abused their power and companies became less competitive. Unions sometimes enforced rules among their members with violence or intimidation in the workplace (Source). They invite free riding. ‘Shirkers’ are paid at the same rate as productive employees. It’s bad for morale and makes workers less productive as a whole. An employee in a union has two bosses – the shop steward and the employer. The employer wants the employee to work at their best. The shop steward might want an employee to slow down so as not to raise the employer’s expectations.”

Abel cocked his head slightly. “Free riding is a collective action problem that is not unique to labor unions. They empowered workers in negotiations with large companies who wielded extraordinary power in the labor market. In some counties, a company was a monopsony, the main source of employment for everyone in that region.”

Cain argued, “The government is the largest employer in the country employing over 23 million at various levels (Source). Walmart, the largest private employer, has just over 2 million workers (Source). Unions have taken over the public sector.”

Abel interrupted. “Let me stop you there. The BLS just released their annual survey of union membership. It’s less than a third in the public sector (Source).”

Cain nodded. “OK, perhaps I overstated the percentage. Still, public sector membership is five times what it is in the private sector. Unions may give workers more bargaining power, higher wages and more benefits. Who pays for all that? Taxpayers. Our public schools are not teaching essential reading and math skills. Fewer police officers on the street. Potholes go unfilled. What are taxpayers getting for their money? Screwed.”

Abel scoffed. “Elementary school teachers generally make less than the average wage in their local economy. In Denver, an elementary school teacher averages almost $54,000 (Source). The average in private industry is more than $80,000 (Source).”

Cain argued, “Ok, so maybe elementary school teachers in Denver are underpaid. Their main funding source is local property taxes. In the whole metro area though, federal government employees make $2128 a week (Source). That’s far above the average weekly wage of $1721 in the private sector (Source).”

Abel shrugged a shoulder. “Look, Denver is a regional hub. There is a higher proportion of tech employees in the federal workforce in Denver than the private sector. State government employees make just $2 more than the average (Source).”

Cain frowned. “If the mix of jobs and talent was similar to the private sector, then their union is not very effective at negotiating pay.”

Abel showed some impatience. “Your group doesn’t like unions. I get that. Incorporation is a collaboration of capital for investor profits. A union is a collaboration of workers for better pay and working conditions. Capitalism has been so successful because it turns the free riding problem into an advantage.”

Cain laughed. “You’re saying something good about capitalism? Go on.”

Abel smiled. “Small investors, holders of common stock in a company, enjoy the same return on their capital as the giant hedge fund who may own a substantial stake in the company. Because they have so much at stake, large investors take an active role in monitoring or directing management decisions. The small investors freeride on those efforts.”

Cain nodded. “That’s an interesting perspective. I still don’t think that unions are needed to negotiate for workers. Worker productivity and demand will support higher wages.”

Abel sighed. “In theory. This is the real world, not a freshman class in economics. If capital can collaborate to gain bargaining power, workers must collaborate to match that power.”

Cain motioned his impatience. “We started out talking about tariffs and now we’re talking about unions.”

Abel laughed. “We are exploring different perspectives. We will never come to an agreement unless we try to understand each other’s positions on these issues.”

Cain nodded. “See you next week then.”   

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Image by ChatGPT

Gerstle, G. (2022). The rise and fall of the neoliberal order America and the world in the free market era. Oxford University Press.

The American Federation of Government Employees represents 800,000 of two million federal employees (Source). The American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees represents more than 1.3 million workers (Source).