Alliances of Reasoning

July 14, 2024

by Stephen Stofka

This week’s letter is about expectations and alliances of judicial reasoning and power. I will begin with some background on the judiciary, then follow up next week with a closer look at the rationales that various schools of judicial reasoning employ to reach their desired conclusion.

The legislature has 535 individual opinions of what is fair and just, as many interpretations of statutory and Constitutional text, and many prescriptions of what should be done to address a problem. Party leaders must collapse those many dimensions into a singularity, a sheet of paper that becomes law. As laws emerge from the halls of Congress, they become a multi-faceted work of collaborative reasoning. Businesses hire lawyers to reinterpret a piece of legislation in their favor, or to defend against regulatory action. The executive agency responsible for administering or enforcing the law has its own opinions of what the law says and how it should be executed. Judges in federal district courts weigh in with their opinions as they rule on cases and controversies brought before them.

Those opinions may be challenged in federal appellate courts then submitted to the Supreme Court asking them to take the case for review, a petition  called a “writ of certiorari.” Of the many cases submitted, the Court accepts only a small number – 62 in the 2023-24 session, according to Ballotpedia. Lawyers for the plaintiff and respondent argue their opinions to the Court, which reviews those arguments as well as amicus briefs submitted by advocate groups on either side of an issue. Again, many opinions collapse into a judgment won by a majority of the Court’s justices. In some cases, they simply refer the case back to a lower court with a clarifying interpretation of a legal area that the lower court should include in its consideration of the case.

The Constitution contains three articles that establish the Legislature, Executive and Judiciary. Article 3 authorizing the Judiciary is only 373 words, less than the word count required of a fourth-grade essay. Article 2 establishing the Executive branch is three times longer. Article 1 instituted the Legislative branch and is almost eight times as long. The principle of judicial review, that the courts can decide whether portions of laws passed by the legislature conflict with the Constitution, is not cited in Article 3. How did the Judiciary assume that plenary power?

The ruling in an 1803 case titled Marbury v. Madison decided that Marbury, the plaintiff, did not have standing to sue Madison, the Secretary of State under Thomas Jefferson. The decision was less noteworthy than the reasoning supporting the decision. The Court, headed by Chief Justice John Marshall, ruled that a portion of the Judicial Act passed in 1789 conflicted with Article 3, Section 2 of the Constitution. In that decision, Marshall assumed the right of the Court to have the final word on the meaning of statute and Constitutional text. A strict textualist interpretation of the Constitution would argue that the Marshall court had found a clever way to amend the Constitution. In recent decades textualist interpretations of the law have gained popularity among conservative justices. This branch of analysis emerged as a reaction to the purpose-oriented jurisprudence typical of the Court’s opinions in the sixties and seventies.

After WW2, voters gave Democrats an average 81 seat advantage in the House (Kraft & Furlong, 2021, p. 345), an effective mandate. In the current House, Republicans have only a 7-seat advantage. Many House members were World War 2 veterans, determined that the sacrifice of their military brothers in the fight for freedom would not be subjugated to racial practices that suppressed the freedoms of Black people, including those soldiers who had fought in the war. In 1962, Rachel Carson’s book Silent Spring focused popular attention on the sewage and dangerous chemicals that contaminated the nation’s air and water. As veterans gained seniority in Congress, they were able to pass civil and environmental reforms. In a surge of anti-Republican sentiment following the Watergate scandal, voters in the 1976 election handed Democrats a 150-seat advantage in the House.

A Constitution should thwart the human inclination to shape laws to suit to one’s advantage. The Supreme Court, headed by Chief Justice Earl Warren, established, or re-established depending on one’s perspective, several Constitutional principles of equality that upset relationships of power at the state and local levels. Shortly after President Eisenhower appointed Warren to head the Court, it issued its Brown v. Board of Education decision that established the principle that segregated schools in southern states were not equal. George Wallace, the Governor of Alabama, defied federal efforts to desegregate the state’s schools. In his campaign for President a decade later, he rallied his followers with the cry “segregation today…segregation tomorrow…segregation forever.”

The Court’s reliance on the equal protections of the 14th Amendment provided the rationale for other reforms, including Reynolds v. Sims (164), the “one person, one vote” decision. In several states, a dwindling population of rural voters maintained control of the state legislature through imaginative schemes. In Kentucky, districts were apportioned according to the mileage of the roads in the county, not the number of voters. In Tennessee, the legislature had not changed district apportionment since 1901, a move that disadvantaged the growing urban population of that state. In Vermont, 49 people in one district had equal representation with 33,000 in another state district. Other individual protections included the Miranda warning upon arrest, the protection from search and seizure by state and local officials without a warrant,  and the freedom to buy contraceptives in the Griswold ruling.

Some considered these rulings an intrusion on state and local autonomy and antithetical to the conservative principle of limited government. In the final year of the Warren Court and the close of the 1960s decade, Nixon encouraged a “silent majority” of traditionalists to reject the reforms and societal upheavals of the past decade. Nixon sought to wake the sense of grievance in a coalition of conservative minorities. In 1973, a volatile combination of events – the Watergate hearings, an oil embargo touched off by America’s role in the Arab-Israeli war, an 8.8% inflation rate, and the Court’s Roe v Wade decision – stirred up a backlash of traditionalist fervor that would gain momentum over the next two decades. Next week I will examine those alliances of power.

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Photo by Wesley Tingey on Unsplash

Keywords: silent majority, Watergate, Roe v. Wade, segregation, Supreme Court

Kraft, Michael E., and Scott R. Furlong. 2021. Public Policy: Politics, Analysis, and Alternatives. Thousand Oaks, CA: CQ Press.

What’s Really Going On

May 24, 2020

by Steve Stofka

In the latest cable news media surveys, Fox News had 3.7 million prime time viewers, outdistancing cable news/talk outlets CNN and MSNBC (Watson, 2020). Traditional broadcast networks ABC and NBC have 12 million viewers, three times the number of Fox viewers and six times that of MSNBC and CNN (Koblin, 2020). For the 21 million households that have never had cable TV, broadcast news is their only choice.

The Fox News model courts conspiracy theorists, salacious news and rumor. In any country, there is a pool of people eager to believe speculation if it conforms to their sentiments. There are two kinds of conspiracy theorists: those who don’t know any better and those have seen it all and do know better. Conspiracies join the old and the young. 

At first I dismissed speculation that President Johnson would send thousands of young men like myself to their deaths to bolster his political reputation. He secretly taped many phone conversations in the White House. His own words substantiate the claims (Sanger, 2001).

After President Nixon’s landslide victory over Democratic rival George McGovern in 1972, rumors circulated that Nixon had ordered a burglary and wiretapping of  Democratic National Committee headquarters. That’s how Nixon won. Oh, come on. Sore losers. McGovern ran a bad campaign. Within months, those rumors became the subject of public hearings. After Nixon had resigned because he lost party support, some Republicans I spoke with still believed that Watergate was a hoax, Democratic payback for getting trounced in the election. Really? I asked. I was too young to understand, they said.

After yet another trouncing of the Democratic candidate in the 1984 Presidential election, rumors circulated that the Reagan White House was selling weapons to Iran to get money to support the right wing Contra rebels in Nicaragua (Wikipedia, n.d.). The Democrats in Congress had blocked funding for the Contras, but there were any number of ways that the administration could secretly route money to the rebels. Why would White House officials use Iran as a go-between? The country’s head of state had called us the devil. Sore losers, those Democrats. Vicious rumors against the President.

In response to the subsequent Iran-Contra investigation, White House officials destroyed many documents relating to the affair. After several years of denial, Reagan finally acknowledged that there had been such an arrangement but never admitted that he knew about it.

In 2004, rumors circulated that President George Bush concocted evidence so that he could go to war in Iraq and kill Saddam Hussein, the dictator who had tried to kill Bush’s dad in 1993. A ridiculous story meant to take down a President before the election. Democrats were still angry that a conservative Supreme Court had given the Presidency to George Bush in the 2000 election. The sacrifice of so many Iraqi and American lives because of the President’s spite? Come on, gimme a break.

Did Bush go to war with Iraq as payback? Probably not. Did the Bush team manipulate the evidence for going to war? Where are the Weapons of Mass Destruction that Saddam Hussein had hidden? Still hidden.

Why do conspiracy theories persist through the centuries? Many of us like puzzles. There are elements of truth in some conspiracy theories. Are conspiracy  theories true most of the time? No. Is prayer effective most of the time? No. It only has to work a small amount of the time and people pray. Why not? Can’t hurt. If a prayer cost $100, would there be fewer prayers?

Martin Luther protested the selling of indulgences by the Catholic Church to those faithful who were concerned for the health of their everlasting souls.  People who could afford such indulgences were guaranteed a place in heaven. Those who were poor might be condemned to an eternity in hell. He sparked a movement that rejected the intermediation of clergy between each person and God.

Why do people need the intermediation of scientists between each person and the truth?  Scientists can be wrong. That’s the opinion of some Fox News hosts. If scientists are wrong 5% of the time, that is a reason to have doubt, isn’t it? Using the methods of conspiracy theorists, I only need a slim chance of error to disbelieve scientists, and a slim chance of truth to believe a conspiracy theory. Casinos depend on this kind of thinking to make their profits.

Rupert Murdoch is the billionaire head of News Corp, and the owner of Fox News. He is a smart man who understands that the presentation of the news is as important as the news itself. He is a pragmatic man. Anticipating a win by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election, Mr. Murdoch was fashioning Fox News into a more moderate news outlet (Folkenflik, 2017).

In reaction to Mr. Trump’s unexpected win, he turned Fox News into a megaphone for the White House and the Conspiracy-Theorist-In-Chief, Donald J. Trump. Fox News is the only network to grow its audience each year. That’s smart. Give people what they want. 

Is Fox News spinning fewer fairy tales that feature the President as the saving hero? Lately, he has attacked the network on Twitter because they are not doing enough to get him and other Republicans elected this year (Ward, 2020). Yes, he wrote that. Will the network give the hero of the fairy tale what he wants?

This post has been corrected. An earlier version incorrectly stated that Disney now owned Fox News. The network was not included in the deal when Disney bought 21st Century Fox earlier this year. Thanks to a reader for noting the error.

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Notes:

Photo by Hans-Peter Gauster on Unsplash

Folkenflik, D. (2017, March 14). Murdoch And Trump, An Alliance Of Mutual Interest. NPR. Retrieved from https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/03/14/520080606/murdoch-and-trump-an-alliance-of-mutual-interest

Koblin, J. (2020, March 24). The Evening News Is Back. N.Y.Times. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/24/business/media/coronavirus-evening-news.html

Sanger, D. E. (2001, November 6). New Tapes Indicate Johnson Doubted Attack in Tonkin Gulf. N.Y. Times. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2001/11/06/us/new-tapes-indicate-johnson-doubted-attack-in-tonkin-gulf.html. (See U. Virginia entry for transcriptions.)

U.S. Senate. (2019, December 12). Watergate Leaks Lead to Open Hearings. Retrieved from https://www.senate.gov/artandhistory/history/minute/Watergate_Investigation.htm

U. Virginia. (n.d.). The Presidential Recordings of Lyndon B. Johnson. Retrieved from https://prde.upress.virginia.edu/content/johnson. (Paywall – summaries free).

Ward, M. (2020, May 21). Trump attacks Fox News for ‘doing nothing to help Republicans, and me,’ get reelected. Politico. Retrieved from https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/21/trump-attacks-fox-news-doing-nothing-to-help-republicans-in-november-273612

Watson, A. (2020, May 18). U.S. cable news network viewership 2020. Statista. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/373814/cable-news-network-viewership-usa/

Wikipedia. (2020, May 14). Iran–Contra affair. Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Contra_affair